Hello and welcome,
The Oscars are tonight!
I know my awards season coverage—and myself, for that matter—has been… well, nonexistent. Real life always seems to get in the way of talking about Hollywood patting itself on the back (I know, I wish it weren’t so). Apparently, my professors think homework is more important than tracking precursor awards.
Nonetheless, I can’t let the Oscars happen without giving you my thoughts on what will win this Sunday—or, more accurately, who I think will win. That’s as much a part of the Oscars for me as turkey is on Thanksgiving.
As what has become a tradition, this blog is dedicated to only one category: Best Animated Feature. However, if you want to know my predictions for all 24 categories (yes, it’s really 24), check out my new episode of “In The Mind of Mr. Bee.”
This year, the Best Animated Feature category for most of the season looked like a lock for one movie. With the other four, the only hope of winning would require a few highly unlikely scenarios—though some are more likely than others—but the race is not over until the envelope is opened.
As I have done before, I will talk about the movies from least likely to win to the most probable winner. With that out of the way, let’s begin.
Little Amélie or the Character of Rain
I can see a small chance of an upset here, but it’s very small. The film has been nominated almost everywhere but has rarely won. Its only notable wins are the Utah Critics Awards and the LA Critics Awards. Those groups have a hit-or-miss record when it comes to predicting the Oscars, so I don’t think it will be Little Amélie or the Character of Rain’s year.
The newer Academy membership might help it a little, but probably not by much.
Arco
Both Arco and Little Amélie or the Character of Rain probably have an equal shot at winning, but I will give the edge to Arco because it won Best Independent Feature at the Annie Awards.
That award has only predicted the Oscar winner once. Last year may have been a fluke, or it may be the start of a new bellwether. Your guess is as good as mine.
Elio
One thing I have learned in all my years following and covering the Oscars is that it’s not wise to bet against Pixar. Out of the 24 years that this award has been presented, they have won 11 times.
At this point, Pixar basically has a reserved parking spot at the Dolby Theatre.
But I don’t think Pixar will add a 12th Oscar to their shelf this year.
The movie seems to be nominated everywhere, but without many wins—in fact, none. At the Annie Awards, it received 10 nominations but won nothing.
The odds are just not in Elio’s favor. But it’s Pixar, so you can’t completely write it off. And yes, before you ask, that’s the only reason I have it ranked this high.
Zootopia 2
It’s also not wise to bet against Disney Animation. Between Disney and Pixar hold the majority of the Best Animated Feature Oscars.
But it doesn’t look like it will be their year.
However, if there is going to be an upset, it would most likely be this one. The film has been nominated almost everywhere and even won the BAFTA. Of course, KPop Demon Hunters was ineligible there, and the BAFTA voters are often off in Britain doing their own thing, so their winners don’t always line up with the Oscars.
Another problem for Zootopia 2 is that the Academy doesn’t like sequels—unless your name happens to be Toy Story.
KPop Demon Hunters
Let’s be honest—this is probably going to win.
It has won or at least been nominated everywhere (BAFTA notwithstanding), including Critics' Choice, the Golden Globes, and the PGA. At the Annie Awards, it won 10 out of 10.
I just don’t see how it could lose.
I have seen three out of the five nominated movies, and if I were voting (assuming only these nominees), I would personally give it to Zootopia 2. It’s just that good—possibly even better than the first one—and it is the only movie in 2025 that I saw twice in theaters.
However, my Academy membership card must be lost in the mail.
Or maybe it’s stuck behind a Pixar Oscar somewhere… who knows.
Enjoy the Oscars tonight!
Goodnight, and Bee Happy!™
Mr. Bee

